| Overall | 14W 6L 1T |
| District | 6W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 17: 1+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
3 2 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1350 160 Strength Momentum |
1251 60.4(8) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1315 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1373 | 60% |  |
| 08/26/15 | Del Norte | 0.000 | 798 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1474 | 98% | |
| 08/29/15 | at La Cueva | 0.000 | 1305 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 1136 | 55% | |
| 09/01/15 | Cibola ? | 0.001 | 1232 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1181 | 72% | |
| 09/03/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.001 | 1251 | W 4- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1391 | 70% | |
| 09/09/15 | at Sandia | 0.004 | 1278 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1373 | 60% | |
| 09/12/15 | Eldorado ?? | 0.007 | 1150 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1190 | 82% | |
| 09/15/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.011 | 1251 | W 4- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1391 | 70% | |
| 09/17/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.014 | 1495 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1313 | 29% | |
| 09/19/15 | Hobbs !! | 0.016 | 1286 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1509 | 65% | |
| 09/23/15 | Albuquerque | 0.039 | 1422 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1326 | 41% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Valley | 0.038 | 1096 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1434 | 83% | |
| 09/30/15 | Rio Grande | 0.032 | 943 | W 9- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1493 | 95% | |
| 10/03/15 | at West Mesa ! | 0.050 | 1156 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1567 | 77% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.291 | 1422 | T 0- 0 | Better (+1) | 1396 | 35% | |
| 10/14/15 | Valley | 0.285 | 1096 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1414 | 87% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.171 | 943 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1460 | 93% | |
| 10/22/15 | West Mesa | 0.661 | 1156 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1293 | 82% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Las Cruces | 0.857 | 1152 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1361 | 80% | |
| 11/06/15 | * La Cueva | 0.951 | 1305 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1387 | 58% | |
| 11/07/15 | * Albuquerque | 0.952 | 1422 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1326 | 38% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Atrisco Heritage actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1251, while
Atrisco Heritage's "weighted playing strength" is 1362
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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